227,000Mobility has stalled
Forecast transactions for the coming year, around 12,000 fewer than the year before and falling further after that. With an ageing population and too little suitable stock, owners improve the home they have instead of trading up.
Rabobank housing market outlook66,500Ownership is changing hands
Rental homes sold into owner-occupation since the Affordable Rent Act, with investors continuing to withdraw. Tens of thousands of properties are passing to owners who have never commissioned building work in their lives.
Quarterly investor sales reporting~1 mlnThe stock is old and failing
Homes at risk of foundation damage from drought and subsidence, at an average repair cost near €92,000, and not covered by insurance. Around a fifth of the housing stock is in moderate to poor structural condition.
KCAF · AFM · CLO1.5 mlnCompliance has multiplied
Homes at energy label E, F or G facing a 2030 restriction, in a regime where the label now sets both resale value and the maximum legal rent. Alongside it, a new building quality assurance framework and revised contractor liability.
Aedes · Affordable Rent Act · EPBD+5% p.a.Demand is outrunning capacity
Forecast growth in housing production including renovation, into a market where skilled trades are short across every discipline. Waiting times lengthen and the leverage in every negotiation sits with the contractor.
Construction Economics Institute€650 / m²Quality is repriced
The value gap between a label A home and the same home at label G, roughly 17%, widening every year since 2021. Condition and efficiency now separate two otherwise identical properties by more than most renovation budgets.
National estate agency market data